NFL Parlays Week 4

Jovan Alford
Last Updated: Sep 28, 2023

After grabbing a couple wins in my Week 2 parlay column, I came back down to earth last weekend.

Our same game parlay hit for the second straight week as Detroit covered the 3.5-point spread and held Atlanta under 21.5 points. However, our best parlay fell through as the Ravens lost to the Colts in overtime.

Nonetheless, it’s a new week, and I’ll try to hand out a few winning parlays for Week 4.

NFL Week 4 Parlay Picks

All NFL betting odds used in our Week 4 parlay picks are current as of Wednesday, Sept. 27, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Parlay: MIN ML + MIA +3 (+187)

Longshot Parlay: PIT ML + JAX ML + SEA ML + BAL ML (+1116)

Same Game Parlay: PHI ML + PHI Over 12.5 1H Points (-110)

NFL Week 4 Best Parlay Bet

Week 4 Best Parlay (+187)

  • Vikings ML (-180) vs Panthers
  • Dolphins +3 (-118) vs Bills

The Minnesota Vikings (0-3) are in a must-win spot after losing 28-24 to the Chargers last week. Minnesota has had the worst luck through the first three weeks of the season, losing its games by a combined 13 points.

The Vikings have produced gaudy offensive numbers, but it hasn’t equated to wins. However, I like Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson to help Minnesota to its first win against a Panthers team allowing 27 points per game.

Carolina’s offense showed some life last week with veteran backup QB Andy Dalton under center, but it now appears that rookie Bryce Young (ankle) is on track to start.

The No. 1 overall pick has struggled thus far, and that could continue against Brian Flores’ blitz-heavy defense. Look for Minnesota to win the turnover battle and the game.

I’m pairing the Vikings with the Dolphins, who dropped 70 points last weekend without wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (concussion).

This week, Miami is a three-point underdog against the Bills, and the trends support taking them on the spread. Since the start of last season, the Dolphins are 5-2 ATS as road underdogs but 2-5 on the moneyline.

Buffalo’s defense allowed just 13 points over the last two weeks, but they haven’t seen this explosive Miami offense yet.

NFL Week 4 Longshot Parlay Bet

Week 4 Longshot Parlay (+1116)

  • Steelers ML (-148) vs Texans
  • Jaguars ML (-162) vs Falcons
  • Seahawks ML (-105) vs Giants
  • Ravens ML (+130) vs Browns

My Week 4 longshot parlay kicks off with the Steelers, who are coming off back-to-back prime-time victories.

Sunday’s game against the Texans will come down to whether Pittsburgh’s defense can get pressure on Houston QB C.J. Stroud (sacked 11 times this season) and create turnovers.

The Steelers have produced 13 sacks (first in the NFL) and are tied for second in takeaways with the Eagles (8). Stroud has done a great job not turning over the ball thus far, but this Steelers’ defense is playing at a high level.

I’m pairing Pittsburgh with Jacksonville, who has lost two straight but should get back on track against Atlanta in London. The Falcons’ offense has been pedestrian with Desmond Ridder (18.3 points per game), which will help a Jacksonville defense that was lit up last week by the Texans.

The Jags will not have second-year linebacker Devin Lloyd for this week’s contest. But I still trust their defense to contain Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. Jacksonville is the better team on paper and should prevail in a must-win spot.

  • Check out our top moneyline, ATS, and Over/Under plays in our NFL Week 4 picks.

The final two legs of this longshot moneyline parlay require the Seahawks and Ravens to win outright. Baltimore is a popular moneyline underdog pick this week despite its performance last week against the Colts.

The Ravens are 10-3-1 ATS as road underdogs since 2019 and 6-8 straight up. This AFC North showdown will come down to which team can win on third down, as the Ravens’ offense ranks second in third down conversion percentage (51.1%), while the Browns’ defense is first in opponent third down conversion percentage (19.5%).

The Seahawks are making the cross-country trek to New York for Monday Night Football to play the Giants. Daniel Jones and Co. were able to move the ball last week against San Francisco but only scored one touchdown.

The Giants should score more than one touchdown against the Seahawks’ red zone defense this week. However, New York’s defense will have its hands full with RB Kenneth Walker, who has scored four touchdowns in the last two games.

NFL Week 4 Same Game Parlay Bet

Commanders vs Eagles Same Game Parlay (-110)

  • Eagles ML (-360)
  • Eagles: Over 12.5 1H Points (-150)

I’ve found some luck with the same game parlay over the last two weeks, so I’ll try to press it with the Eagles, who play the Commanders on Sunday.

Washington is coming off a disappointing 37-3 home loss to the Bills after defeating the Broncos 35-33 in Week 2. The Eagles’ defense will look to shut down Brian Robinson Jr. on the ground and force Sam Howell to beat them with his arm.

Offensively, Philadelphia has averaged 14 first-half points per game this season. The Eagles have found their rhythm on the ground with veteran RB D’Andre Swift, which is bad news for a Commanders’ defense allowing 128.7 rushing yards per game.


Jovan Alford

Jovan Alford is currently a freelance writer at The Game Day. Before TGD, Jovan was a content producer at The Sporting News, focusing on betting and fantasy sports. He also worked at DraftKings Nation and was previously a sports editor at the Philadelphia Metro. Jovan loves betting on player props and playing daily fantasy sports.

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