Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season is here, and it’s Thanksgiving week. We’re feeling good after going 2-1 last week, but we can be better and go 3-0 this week.
Big-time shoutouts are in order to the Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Dallas Cowboys, and Carolina Panthers for getting the job done. It wasn’t easy, but both my best parlay and same-game parlay hit in Week 11.
On the other hand, my longshot parlay was a full fade. As such, we will be banning the New York Jets and Pittsburgh Steelers from our parlays until further notice.
Still, it was a major bounce-back week and we’re going to keep that momentum going. Let’s get into my top NFL Week 12 parlay picks.
NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks
All NFL betting odds used for these Week 12 parlays are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 22, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Parlay: NO-ATL Over 42 + PHI ML (+197)
Longshot Parlay: HOU ML + NYG ML + CAR-TEN Under 36.5 + LV +8.5 (+1652)
Same Game Parlay: DEN ML + CLE Over 13.5 (+272)
NFL Week 12 Best Parlay Bet
Week 12 Best Parlay (+197)
- Saints vs Falcons Over 42 (-112)
- Eagles ML (-175) vs Bills
Somebody has to win the AFC South, right?
It’s currently a three-team race between the New Orleans Saints (5-5), Atlanta Falcons (4-6), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6). I remember when this game would’ve been Drew Brees vs Matt Ryan. Now we have Derek Carr vs Desmond Ridder.
Both teams have game-breaking playmakers on offense and stout defenses. That’s not ideal for the Over. However, the Falcons have scored 23-plus points in three straight games, and the Saints have done the same in three of their last four. This game should creep Over in the 4th quarter.
- Check out our favorite NFL Week 12 prop bets.
The Philadelphia Eagles are, without a doubt, the best team in the NFL. They’re on a four-game win streak, during which they have beaten the Kansas City Chiefs, Dallas Cowboys, and Miami Dolphins.
The Buffalo Bills’ season hasn’t been a pretty one, to say the least. Sean McDermott’s squad is barely above .500, and before beating the Jets, the Bills lost back-to-back heartbreakers.
Buffalo is good but overrated. Philadelphia will take care of business to close out this parlay.
NFL Week 12 Longshot Parlay Bet
Week 12 Longshot Parlay (+1652)
- Texans ML (+102) vs Jaguars
- Giants ML (+136) vs Patriots
- Panthers vs Titans Under 36.5 (-108)
- Raiders +8.5 (-110) vs Chiefs
To everyone’s surprise, the AFC South is surprisingly very close. This Jaguars-Texans game features two of the best young QBs in the league: Trevor Lawrence and C.J. Stroud.
Jacksonville has been inconsistent, while Houston has been hot lately. We have to roll with the hot hand, as the Texans are on a three-game win streak.
Speaking of hot hands, neither the New England Patriots nor the New York Giants have been hot. The Patriots are 1-6 in their last seven games while the Giants are 2-5.
But what does New York have that New England doesn’t? A man by the name of Tommy DeVito, who is coming off an incredible performance against the Washington Commanders.
Give me the king of the chicken cutlets to keep the Giants rolling at home.
- Get our top moneyline, ATS, and Over/Under plays in our NFL Week 12 picks.
Speaking of teams that have no chance of winning their division, the Carolina Panthers visit the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. Both sides are trotting out rookie quarterbacks in Bryce Young and Will Levis.
Both defenses should have a field day, leading this total to soar Under.
Let’s spice up this longshot parlay with some risk in the final leg. Since Antonio Pierce took over, the Las Vegas Raiders have had a new vibe.
Las Vegas is 2-1 under Pierce and nearly beat the Miami Dolphins last week. The Kansas City Chiefs have faced some adversity recently, losing to the Broncos and Eagles.
This will be a much closer game than people expect, so look for the Raiders to cover.
NFL Week 12 Same Game Parlay Bet
Browns vs Broncos Same Game Parlay (+292)
- Broncos ML (-135)
- Browns: Over 13.5 (-175)
Outside of their respective fan bases, not many people will have an interest in this game, so let’s manufacture one with a same-game parlay.
After a disastrous 1-5 start for the Broncos, Sean Payton and Russell Wilson have been cooking, going on a four-game heater to bring their record to .500. And those wins weren’t against cupcake teams. The Broncos have beaten the Chiefs, Bills, and Vikings in their last three games.
- Cook up a big play with our NFL Thanksgiving parlays.
With Deshaun Watson (shoulder) out for the season, rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson has taken over under center for the Cleveland Browns. He led the team to a 13-10 victory against the Steelers last week. But even without Watson, Cleveland’s offense can still put points on the board.
Without Watson, the Browns have averaged 16.8 points per game. Plus, the Broncos allow an almost league-leading 26.8 points per game.
The perfect mix for the Browns to score at least two touchdowns, but for Denver to continue its winning run.