Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season is here, so that means we have another chance to attack the slate and win some money after a 1-2 week.
My Week 10 best parlay sadly lost because the Baltimore Ravens took their foot off the gas. My longshot parlay missed by one leg because I put my faith in the Over in a game featuring Baker Mayfield and Will Levis.
But shoutout to the Washington Commanders and Seattle Seahawks for getting the job done and cashing my same game parlay.
I’ve been back in the lab learning from my mistakes, and I’m ready to hit multiple parlays this week. Let’s get into my top NFL Week 11 parlay picks.
NFL Week 11 Parlay Picks
All NFL betting odds used for these Week 11 parlays are current as of Wednesday, Nov. 15, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Parlay: DET ML + HOU -4 (+134)
Longshot Parlay: PIT ML + NYJ +7 + MIA Over 30.5 + SEA-LAR Over 46 (+1455)
Same Game Parlay: DAL -10.5 + DAL-CAR Over 42.5 (+222)
NFL Week 11 Best Parlay Bet
Week 11 Best Parlay (+134)
- Lions ML (-440) vs Bears
- Texans -4 (-110) vs Cardinals
The Detroit Lions have been humming this year. Who could’ve predicted that they’d start the season 7-2? Detroit’s offense has been one of the best in the league while its defense has stepped up when called upon.
Heading into Week 11, the Lions host the 3-7 Chicago Bears. The Bears are expected to start Justin Fields (thumb) after a few weeks of Tyson Bagent. Regardless, the Lions are going to take care of their NFC North rival with ease.
- Check out our favorite NFL Week 11 prop bets.
Speaking of teams that have been humming — the Houston Texans have been a major surprise in the NFL this season. Their preseason win total was 6.5 wins. They already have five heading into Week 11.
It’s clear that C.J. Stroud should’ve been the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, and he’s the heavy favorite in our NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. The Texans might mess around and win the AFC South.
On Sunday, Houston hosts a struggling Arizona Cardinals squad, so mark this up as a dub by at least a touchdown.
NFL Week 11 Longshot Parlay Bet
Week 11 Longshot Parlay (+1455)
- Steelers ML (+110) vs Browns
- Jets +7 (-110) vs Bills
- Seahawks vs Rams Over 46 (-112)
- Dolphins: Over 30.5 (+105) vs Raiders
Deshaun Watson has been ruled out for the remainder of the season and it’s clear the books haven’t caught up to it yet with the Pittsburgh Steelers moneyline at plus-odds.
The Steelers have overperformed this season as they’re 6-3 on the year. Look for them to beat a hobbled Browns team.
The New York Jets haven’t scored a touchdown in 11 consecutive quarters. The Buffalo Bills have lost four of their last six games, including two in a row.
This game has the makings for a slugfest. The Jets need a get-back game desperately, and a win would put them ahead of the Bills in the division. That won’t be easy, but the Jets will keep this game close.
- Get our top moneyline, ATS, and Over/Under plays in our NFL Week 11 picks.
For the third leg, we need the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams to score Over 46 points. While that total might look high, it’s very achievable.
After getting blanked by the Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago, the Seahawks came back and beat the Washington Commanders 29-26 last week. The Rams are coming off a well-needed bye, giving Matthew Stafford (thumb) time to heal.
Los Angeles won the first matchup 30-13, but with Seattle finding its footing as of late, this game should be closer and higher scoring.
To round out this longshot parlay, I’m taking the Miami Dolphins to score Over 30.5 points.
The Dolphins have done this five times this season, so this should be easy for one of the best offenses in the NFL. Plus, the Las Vegas Raiders’ have played against bad offenses the last two games, so they’re in for a rude awakening.
NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlay Bet
Cowboys vs Panthers Same Game Parlay (+222)
- Cowboys -10.5 (-110)
- Over 42.5 Points (-110)
This game is going to be another blowout win for the Dallas Cowboys, so let’s make it somewhat watchable by placing a parlay on it.
Dallas has beaten its opponents by 11 or more points five times this season. The Cowboys now head to Carolina to play arguably the worst team in the NFL. America’s Team should jump out to a monster lead early and never look back.
- Stay up to date on the latest line moves with our NFL Week 11 odds.
That game script pairs well with the Over of 42.5 points. Dallas has gone Over this total on its own in two of the past three games.
Carolina’s defense will have no answers for the Cowboys’ offense. Literally none. And Bryce Young and Co. should contribute some points of their own to help us Over the total.