Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Props

Doug Bonjour
Last Updated: Feb 8, 2024

When in doubt, bet on Patrick Mahomes.

The two-time Super Bowl MVP has been outstanding in the postseason, going 14-3 as a starter with 4,802 passing yards, 39 touchdowns, and just seven interceptions during his career.

As the Chiefs aim to repeat, all eyes remain on Mahomes.

Ahead of Super Bowl LVIII between the Chiefs and 49ers, here are a few of our favorite Mahomes prop bets.

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl Props

All NFL betting odds used for these Patrick Mahomes props are current as of Tuesday, Feb. 6, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Over 4.5 Rush Attempts (-130)

Mahomes isn’t shy about leaving the pocket.

He ran the ball six times each of the last two games against Baltimore and Buffalo and is averaging 4.6 carries this postseason.

San Francisco’s defense has looked vulnerable, but I suspect the Chiefs’ playmakers (outside of Travis Kelce) still may have trouble getting open consistently downfield.

That, plus injuries along the offensive line, could ratchet up the pressure on Mahomes. If so, expect Mahomes to take matters into his own hands and run when necessary.

[pick id="170487"]

Under 25.5 Completions (-130)

The Chiefs have leaned heavily on the pass, yet Mahomes has been under this total in two of his three playoff games.

Considering how much the 49ers’ run defense has struggled of late — they allowed an average of 5.5 yards per carry against Green Bay and Detroit — it wouldn’t surprise me if Andy Reid tried to exploit that by relying more on Isiah Pacheco. In theory, that’d also lighten the pass rush on Mahomes.

Even if the Chiefs turn up the dial downfield, Mahomes averaged only 23.5 completions during the regular season.

[pick id="170488"]


Doug Bonjour

Doug covered college and prep sports in Connecticut for more than a decade, including stints as the UConn women’s basketball and UConn football beat reporter for Hearst Connecticut Media. During his time reporting on the 11-time national champion Huskies, he covered three NCAA Final Fours. He also has written for the Associated Press and New York Times.

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