NFL Divisional Round Parlays

John Arlia
Last Updated: Jan 19, 2024

The first weekend of the postseason was particularly profitable as I connected on two of my three NFL wild card parlays, including a longshot play at +1215 odds.

Unfortunately, for the second time in three weeks, I fell just one play (MIA +4.5) short of sweeping the board.

With perfection being the aim, here are my favorite NFL parlay picks for the Divisional Round.

NFL Divisional Round Parlay Picks

All NFL betting odds used for these Divisional Round parlays are current as of Wednesday, Jan. 17, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Best Parlay: BAL ML + SF ML + DET ML (+110)

Longshot Parlay: HOU-BAL Over 43.5 + GB-SF Under 50.5 + KC ML (+709)

Same Game Parlay: TB +7.5 + Over 47.5 + M. Evans Over 66.5 Rec Yds (+375)

NFL Divisional Round Best Parlay Bet

Divisional Round Best Parlay (+110)

  • Ravens ML (-410) vs Texans
  • 49ers ML (-440) vs Packers
  • Lions ML (-265) vs Buccaneers

This moneyline parlay is pretty chalky, but I have a feeling we’re going to see the cream rise to the top after Wild Card Weekend delivered a couple of surprising upsets.

On Saturday, we’re backing the top seeds in each conference to handle their business at home.

While I love watching C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans, their defense isn’t going to be able to hold up against Lamar Jackson. Baltimore is the more balanced team and should advance.

The same could be said for the San Francisco 49ers, who will host the red-hot Green Bay Packers. Jordan Love was flawless in his postseason debut, but San Francisco’s defense should harass him more than Dallas did.

We’ll wrap things up on Sunday with the Detroit Lions, who won their first postseason game in 32 years last weekend. I’m always happy to back Jared Goff and Co. in front of their raucous home crowd, especially against a Buccaneers squad that it beat 20-6 in Tampa during the regular season.

NFL Divisional Round Longshot Parlay Bet

Divisional Round Longshot Parlay (+709)

  • Texans-Ravens Over 43.5 (-112)
  • Packers-49ers Under 50.5 (-110)
  • Chiefs ML (+124) at Bills

My latest NFL longshot parlay kicks off with the Over in the contest between Houston and Baltimore.

When the Ravens and Texans met in Week 1, Baltimore won 25-9. However, both offenses have improved greatly since then.

Lamar Jackson has led his team to 30-plus points in four of his last five home starts, which means we could only need a touchdown or two from Stroud to surpass this relatively low total.

Pairing that with the Packers-49ers Under makes sense, as this number feels like an overreaction to last weekend’s offensive explosion in Dallas.

San Francisco is a much more run-heavy team than Dallas and ran the slowest offense in the NFL this season (31 seconds per play).

Kyle Shanahan is also typically pretty conservative in this situation as a large home favorite, which could help keep us Under 51 points.

Lastly, I’ll take the Kansas City Chiefs to upset the Buffalo Bills in the most anticipated game of the weekend.

Patrick Mahomes is 7-3 straight up as an underdog in his career, and Buffalo’s defense has some injury concerns that could aid KC’s struggling offense. Give me the Chiefs to avenge their regular-season defeat to the Bills on Sunday.

NFL Divisional Round Same Game Parlay Bet

Buccaneers vs Lions Same Game Parlay (+375)

  • Buccaneers +7.5 (-149)
  • Over 47.5 Points (-128)
  • Mike Evans: Over 66.5 Rec Yds (-115)

After an impressive performance against the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card Round, I’m expecting the Buccaneers to give the Lions a game on Sunday afternoon.

Tampa Bay has the joint-best ATS record in the NFL (12-6) along with Detroit and is a remarkable 8-1 against the number away from home.

Taking the alternate spread and alternate total gives us some extra wiggle room with both plays. And while the regular-season meeting between these two teams finished with 26 points, I like the Over here.

The Lions average the fifth-most points per home game in the league (29.8) and should come close to that total in this matchup.

Tampa also should be able to exploit Detroit’s defense via the pass, with Mike Evans being a major beneficiary of Baker Mayfield’s resurgent play.

Evans was held to 48 receiving yards in the win over the Eagles but could have gone for 100-plus if not for a few ill-timed drops.

The future Hall of Famer has gone Over this number eight times this year and should be a top target on Sunday.


John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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