My Week 8 props column went a stellar 2-4. However, I could’ve gone 4-2 if Philadelphia Eagles TE Dallas Goedert went Over 40.5 receiving yards (finished with 36 yards), and the Arizona Cardinals hadn’t scored 17 fourth-quarter points (team total Under 16.5) after they managed seven through the first three quarters.
Nonetheless, it’s a new week, with action beginning across the league on Thursday night when the Tennessee Titans take on the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Let’s jump into my best NFL Week 9 prop bets.
All NFL betting odds used for these Week 9 props are current as of Thursday, Nov. 2, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
NFL Player Props Week 9
Jaylen Waddle: Anytime TD (+150)
In a game where we could see a lot of points, it makes sense to take a shot at Waddle’s anytime TD prop.
The 24-year-old receiver started the regular season slowly but has scored a touchdown in three of the Dolphins’ last four games. It’s not a coincidence Waddle has seen seven red-zone targets over that span.
With L’Jarius Sneed likely covering Tyreek Hill, Waddle will be matched up against Jaylen Watson, who has allowed four TDs and a 125.4 passer rating when targeted this season.
At +150 odds, it feels like we are getting a ton of value for a player who is playing his best ball right now.
Alvin Kamara: Over 33.5 Receiving Yds (-115)
The star running back has been heavily utilized in the Saints’ offense since returning from a three-game suspension. Last week against the Colts, Kamara posted four receptions for 51 yards and a touchdown.
- Check out Jovan’s favorite NFL Week 9 parlays.
This season, Kamara is averaging 45.6 receiving yards per game and has gone Over 33.5 yards in three of five contests. On Sunday, he will face a Bears’ defense that has allowed the most receiving yards to running backs and are ranked 30th in DVOA-RB, per FTN Fantasy.
Last week, Chicago got torched by Chargers RB Austin Ekeler, who had seven receptions (on eight targets) for 94 yards. There’s no reason why Kamara can’t get at least 34 receiving yards on Sunday.
Younghoe Koo: Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-120)
Koo has been the Falcons’ best offensive weapon this season, making 16-of-17 field-goal attempts and scoring 58 points.
The 29-year-old went 3-for-3 on field goals in last week’s game against the Titans, the second straight week he accomplished that feat. Koo has made Over 1.5 field goals in five of eight games this season.
The sixth-year kicker will have a chance to add to his total on Sunday against the Vikings. Minnesota ranks 12th in opponent field goals attempted per game (1.9) and 10th in opponent field goals made per game (1.5).
However, Atlanta’s offense should move the ball more effectively this week as the team turns to Taylor Heinicke at quarterback to replace the struggling Desmond Ridder.
NFL Prop Bets Week 9
Cardinals vs Browns: CLE 1H -4.5 (-105)
The Browns’ offense hasn’t looked great with PJ Walker under center, but I trust Cleveland’s defense to help cover the first-half spread against the Cardinals on Sunday.
Cleveland is 4-2-1 against the spread in the first half of games this season, while Arizona is surprisingly 5-3 ATS through the first 30 minutes of action. If Joshua Dobbs was still the starter, I might be less inclined to lay the points with the Browns.
However, I expect Jim Schwartz’s top-ranked pass defense to get after Cardinals rookie QB Clayton Tune, and for the Browns to attack Arizona’s run defense, which allows 130.6 yards per game (eighth-most in the NFL).
Colts vs Panthers: IND Over 2.5 TDs (-120)
Colts head coach Shane Steichen surprisingly has Indianapolis ranking sixth in the NFL in scoring offense (25.6 points per game) despite the absence of rookie QB Anthony Richardson.
The Colts average 2.9 touchdowns per game and have upped that to 3.3 over their last three contests. Indianapolis has scored at least 20 points in every game this season and will now face a Panthers defense allowing 28.4 points per game.
- Read more on this game in our NFL Week 9 predictions & picks.
Carolina showed improvement in Week 8, but it will face one of the better running-back duos in Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss, who went for 161 yards and a touchdown against the Saints.
If Indianapolis gets the ground game going, they should go Over 2.5 total touchdowns, especially with Gardner Minshew tossing the ball to Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs.
Titans vs Steelers: 1H Under 17.5 Points (-110)
Everybody is excited about Will Levis’ performance against the Falcons in Week 8, but let’s see what he can do against the Steelers on Thursday night.
Levis led Tennessee to 14 first-half points against Atlanta, but now he faces a Pittsburgh defense that only allows 12.1 first-half PPG this season (17th in the NFL). On the Steelers’ side, QB Kenny Pickett will start despite suffering a rib injury against the Jaguars.
Even with Pickett under center for Pittsburgh, this game still features two offenses ranked in the bottom of first-half points per game (TEN – 9.9 PPG/21st, PIT – 6.4 PPG/29th). This contest should start slowly.