After hitting on consecutive same game parlays in back-to-back weeks, I couldn’t pull off the trifecta as I went a stellar 0-3 in my Week 4 parlay column.
Our same game parlay fell short as the Philadelphia Eagles won in overtime against the Washington Commanders but were held under 12.5 points in the first half.
Furthermore, our longshot parlay (PIT ML + JAX ML + SEA ML + BAL ML) almost hit, but the Pittsburgh Steelers lost 30-6 to the Houston Texans.
It wasn’t a great Week 4, but it means I’m due for a significant bounce back. Let’s dig into my NFL Week 5 parlays.
NFL Week 5 Parlay Picks
All NFL betting odds used for these Week 5 parlays are current as of Tuesday, Oct. 3, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Best Parlay: HOU ML + NO-NE Under 40.5 (+291)
Longshot Parlay: BAL ML + AZ -3 + CHI-WAS Over 44.5 + CAR Under 16.5 (+1001)
Same Game Parlay: MIA 1H -6.5 + NYG Under 18.5 (+166)
NFL Week 5 Best Parlay Bet
Week 5 Best Parlay (+291)
- Texans ML (+105) vs Falcons
- Saints vs Patriots Under 40.5 (-110)
The Texans have played excellent football over the last two weeks, convincingly defeating the Jacksonville Jaguars and Steelers.
Houston should extend their winning streak to three games as they have a more consistent offense than the Atlanta Falcons, who have scored 13 total points over the last two weeks.
If the Texans’ defense can stop the run and force Desmond Ridder to beat them with his arm, they should be over .500 for the first time this season.
Another play I like for Week 5 is the Under in the game between the New Orleans Saints and the New England Patriots. Both teams have struggled to score points this season but have stingy defenses.
Mac Jones has been putrid this season (63.7% completions, 898 passing yards, 5 pass TDs, and 4 INTs) while Derek Carr is still dealing with a shoulder injury, which he hampered in last week’s loss to the Bucs.
The Under is 3-1 in New Orleans’ and New England’s games through four weeks, making this one of my locks of the weekend.
NFL Week 5 Longshot Parlay Bet
Week 5 Longshot Parlay (+1001)
- Ravens ML (-198) vs Steelers
- Cardinals +3 (-110) vs Bengals
- Bears vs Commanders Over 44.5 (-115)
- Panthers: Under 16.5 Points (+105)
The Baltimore Ravens are playing a Steelers team that was embarrassed by Houston last week and is dealing with some notable injuries to QB Kenny Pickett (knee) and TE Pat Freiermuth (hamstring).
Lamar Jackson hasn’t fared well in his career against Pittsburgh (2-3), but I believe he can do enough to get his first win over the Steelers since 2019.
In addition to the Ravens, I’m rolling with the Arizona Cardinals, who continue to battle each week and are 3-1 against the spread. Arizona has done an excellent job of not turning over the ball to start the season (two turnovers) and will keep it close against Cincinnati, which has looked like a shell of itself.
- Check out our top moneyline, ATS, and Over/Under plays in our NFL Week 5 picks.
I’m also attacking the Over between the Chicago Bears and Commanders, as neither defense has been spectacular (CHI – 34.3 ppg allowed, WAS – 30 ppg allowed). I expect Justin Fields to build off his Week 4 performance and the Commanders to be able to attack the Bears’ porous pass defense.
Lastly, I’m taking the Carolina Panthers’ team total Under, as they average 16.75 points per game with Bryce Young at quarterback. The Lions’ defense has allowed 20.8 points per game this season, but I don’t see Carolina scoring much against this opportunistic unit.
NFL Week 5 Same Game Parlay Bet
Giants vs Dolphins Same Game Parlay (+166)
- Dolphins 1H -6.5 (-125)
- Giants: Under 18.5 Points (-108)
Instead of playing the Miami Dolphins’ full-game spread (-11), I feel much more comfortable taking them to lead by a touchdown or more at halftime. Miami is 3-1 ATS in the first half, while the New York Giants are 0-4.
The Giants are also struggling to score points in the first half (2.3 points per game), which is why I like the Under on their team total. New York’s best offensive performance was in Week 2 against the Cardinals, where they posted 31 points in the second half.
Outside of that game against Arizona, New York averages five points per game. Miami’s defense hasn’t been spectacular, but they should be able to get after Daniel Jones, who was sacked 11 times in Week 4 against the Seahawks.