NFL Prop Bets Week 14

Jovan Alford
Last Updated: Dec 7, 2023

After having one of my best NFL prop betting weeks in Week 12 (5-1), I got hit with a dose of reality in Week 13 (2-4).

The only two wins I managed were the Miami Dolphins’ first-half Over 14.5 points (17 points scored) and the New York Jets’ full-game Under 16.5 points (eight points scored).

After going below .500 last week, I hope to flip the script in Week 14, which starts on Thursday night when the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the New England Patriots.

Let’s check out my best NFL Week 14 prop bets.

All NFL betting odds used for these Week 14 props are current as of Tuesday, Dec. 5, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

NFL Player Props Week 14

Jared Goff: Over 21.5 Pass Completions (-120)

The last time Goff played the Bears in Week 11, he completed 23-of-35 passes for 236 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions.

Goff will try to eliminate those turnovers Sunday against Chicago’s defense, which has allowed quarterbacks to complete 68.4% of their passes this season (the fourth-highest rate in the NFL). The Bears have also given up 24.8 opponent completions per game this season (28th in the league).

The veteran quarterback is known for his accuracy, completing 67.7% of his passes on the year and going Over 21.5 completions in nine of 12 games.

T.J. Hockenson: Over 51.5 Receiving Yds (-115)

Hockenson should remain an integral part of the Vikings’ passing game on Sunday despite the return of star wide receiver Justin Jefferson.

The veteran tight end is coming off a solid performance against the Bears in Week 12, making five receptions (on six targets) for 50 yards. In four games with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback, Hockenson has averaged 10 targets and 77 receiving yards per game.

Hockenson has a great matchup against a Raiders defense that ranks 28th in DVOA-TE and allows 51.3 receiving yards per game, per FTN Fantasy. He also has gone Over 51.5 receiving yards in seven of 12 games this season.

Chuba Hubbard: Over 48.5 Rushing Yds (-110)

Lastly, I’ll take a chance on Hubbard’s rushing yards prop against a leaky Saints’ run defense.

New Orleans has struggled to stop opposing ground attacks this season, allowing 125.5 rushing yards per game. The Saints have also allowed 165 rushing yards per game over their last three contests.

Hubbard is coming off his best game of the season last week against the Buccaneers, rushing for 104 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries.

The 24-year-old has replaced Miles Sanders as Carolina’s lead back, starting the last six games. Hubbard has averaged 57.6 rushing yards on 15.4 carries per game over that stretch.

For the Panthers to potentially pick up their first road win of the year, they must stick to the running game.

NFL Prop Bets Week 14

Lions vs Bears: DET Over 2.5 TDs (+110)

When these two NFC North rivals met in Week 11, the Lions won 31-26 at Ford Field. Detroit scored four touchdowns, including one each from running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs.

The Lions’ offense scored four touchdowns again in last week’s road win over the Saints, and they’ll face a Bears’ defense that allowed one touchdown in its most recent outing against the Vikings.

This season, Chicago has allowed 2.8 touchdowns per game (28th in the NFL) and 2.6 per game at home.

With the way Jared Goff played against the Saints, there’s no reason why the Lions can’t score at least three touchdowns.

Texans vs Jets: HOU 1H -2.5 (-125)

We faded the Jets last week, and it worked in our favor. However, I won’t take the Jets’ team total this week. Instead, I’ll play the Texans’ first-half spread.

Houston is playing outstanding football this season and has a chance to make the playoffs if things break their way.

The Texans also have one of the best first-half ATS records in the NFL (8-4), while the Jets are 2-10 against the number in the opening 30 minutes. Remarkably, New York is 0-7 ATS in the first half at home this season.

C.J. Stroud and Houston’s offense is producing 11.9 first-half points per game this season, while the Jets’ defense allows 13.1 first-half points a game (27th in the NFL).

The Texans should get out to a quick start and cover this small spread.

Rams vs Ravens: BAL Over 23.5 Points (-115)

The Rams’ defense has been excellent over the last two games, holding the Browns and Cardinals to 19 and 14 points, respectively.

However, Los Angeles might struggle on Sunday against the Ravens. Baltimore has scored at least 24 points in six of their last seven games and averages 30.7 points per home game this season (third-highest in the NFL).

The Ravens can beat teams through the air with Lamar Jackson or score touchdowns on the ground with the three-headed monster of Jackson, Gus Edwards, and Keaton Mitchell.

Baltimore had its way with the Chargers’ defense in Week 12, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the Ravens emerge from their bye and dominate the Rams.


Jovan Alford

Jovan Alford is currently a freelance writer at The Game Day. Before TGD, Jovan was a content producer at The Sporting News, focusing on betting and fantasy sports. He also worked at DraftKings Nation and was previously a sports editor at the Philadelphia Metro. Jovan loves betting on player props and playing daily fantasy sports.

Related articles