Thursday Night Football Predictions & Picks

John Arlia
Last Updated: Jan 8, 2024

Thank you for reading our NFL Thursday Night Football predictions this season.

We will update this page once the 2024 TNF Week 1 matchup is announced in May.

In the meantime, stay up to date with all the latest NFL odds & betting picks at The Game Day Football.

The final Thursday Night Football game of the 2023 NFL season will see the playoff-chasing Cleveland Browns (10-5) host the New York Jets (6-9).

After defeating the Houston Texans 36-22 on Sunday, thanks to a herculean effort from WR Amari Cooper (11 catches, 265 receiving yards, 2 TDs), the Browns are a victory away from clinching a first postseason berth.

On the other hand, the Jets have already been eliminated from playoff contention. However, the team should still be giving its best effort for head coach Robert Saleh, who received a vote of confidence from New York owner Woody Johnson before last week’s 30-28 victory over Washington.

Let’s dig into the latest Jets vs Browns odds and discuss our best bets for this Thursday Night Football matchup.

Jets vs Browns Odds

TNF odds are current as of Tuesday, Dec. 26, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Jets (+280) @ Browns (-355)
  • Spread: Jets +7.5 (-120) @ Browns -7.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: Over 36 (-112) / Under 36 (-108)

Take a look at the best Jets odds and Browns odds for the 2023 NFL season.

Thursday Night Football Prediction

Browns 20, Jets 10

This matchup pits two of the top defensive teams in the NFL against each other.

Cleveland leads the league in yards allowed per game (260.3), while New York ranks third (294.8) in the same category. That means we should see less offensive production in this contest after both teams went for 30-plus points last week.

Plus, this is still a battle of backup quarterbacks, regardless of how well Joe Flacco has filled in for the Browns. Given his stint with New York last season, the Jets should be well aware of his talents and weaknesses.

Still, it’s hard to have confidence in Trevor Siemien on the road, especially since Cleveland has been particularly dominant on its home turf.

Thursday Night Football Best Bet

Under 36 (-112)

Unlike the Texans, the Jets won’t allow Amari Cooper to run rampant in their secondary, which boasts one of the NFL’s best cornerback tandems in Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed.

So, Cleveland will have to do the bulk of its offensive work on the ground, with Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt likely splitting the majority of carries.

In a similar vein, New York will look to lean on running back Breece Hall, who turned 32 touches into 191 total yards and two scores last week against the Commanders.

That emphasis on the running game should keep this clock moving enough to see the Under hit.

Thursday Night Football Parlay

Best TNF Parlay (+110)

  • Browns -5.5 (-162)
  • Under 42.5 (-277)

Cleveland’s home dominance isn’t as widely discussed as Dallas’ but it is 7-1 straight up and against the spread on its home turf this season.

The Browns’ defense has played a massive part in that success, allowing just 13.1 points per home game. However, that number rises to 29.4 points per game on the road.

With this game set in Cleveland and the Browns facing a Nathaniel Hackett-coached offense that lacks creativity and a downfield passing attack, the Under should be a good bet.

Teasing it up a few points and the spread down a few points gives us some wiggle room against a Jets team that is 1-4-1 ATS on its travels this campaign.

Thursday Night Football Prop Bet

Browns 1Q -0.5 (-105)

New York has notably struggled in the opening quarter of games this season, averaging 2.5 points in the first 15 minutes of games this season (29th in the NFL).

And that is accounting for last week’s 17-point, first-quarter outing against the Commanders, which saw the Jets capitalize on an early Sam Howell interception and a blocked punt.

As long as Cleveland doesn’t hand New York points on a platter, it should jump out to an early lead on Thursday night.


John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.