The Pittsburgh Steelers’ 2022 season was a bit of a rollercoaster, with the team winning its last four games to finish with a 9-8 record.
Despite this late-season surge, the Steelers missed the playoffs due to a tiebreaker. However, the winning streak did ensure that head coach Mike Tomlin‘s run of finishing every season with a .500 record or better remained intact.
As we analyze the latest Steelers betting odds for the 2023 NFL season, the question on everyone’s mind is whether Tomlin can keep this impressive run going.
Steelers Futures Betting Odds
Note: These NFL odds are current as of Friday, June 9, and provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Win Super Bowl: +5000
- Win AFC Championship: +2500
- Win AFC North: +450
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+130) / No (-150)
- Regular-Season Win Total: Over 8.5 (-135) / Under 8.5 (+115)
Steelers Super Bowl 58 Odds
Steelers: Win Super Bowl (+5000)
The Steelers have long odds of winning Super Bowl 58, a reflection of their slim chances to compete with the top teams in the NFL.
The team’s fortunes will largely depend on the performance of second-year quarterback Kenny Pickett, who will need to improve significantly after throwing seven touchdown passes and nine interceptions in 13 games as a rookie.
Pickett has plenty of weapons out wide to work with, including Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, and free-agent signing Allen Robinson II. He also has a capable running back in Najee Harris, who struggled behind an inept offensive line last season.
If that group gets its act together, the Steelers could navigate back into the postseason, but a Super Bowl run is likely a step too far.
Steelers AFC Championship Odds
Steelers: Win AFC Championship (+2500)
Unsurprisingly, the Steelers’ odds of winning the AFC Championship are not much better.
Despite making the playoffs three times in the last six seasons, Pittsburgh has failed to progress beyond the wild-card round each time.
And while Pittsburgh perennially produces a defense that can keep it in games, it needs its offense to keep pace with other teams in the modern, pass-happy NFL.
Given the lack of experience at the quarterback position, it’s hard to envision the Steelers making a deep playoff run.
Steelers AFC North Winner Odds
Steelers: Win AFC North (+450)
The Steelers last won the division in 2020 but have slipped one spot further down the standings each of the last two years.
They are projected to finish fourth this season, per the latest AFC North odds, but Tomlin and his coaching staff have a history of outperforming expectations.
Still, it’s hard to be optimistic about their chances to dethrone much more established teams like the Bengals and Ravens.
Steelers Make Playoffs Odds
Steelers: Miss Playoffs (-150)
While the Steelers made the playoffs in 2021 and narrowly missed out last season, Pittsburgh faces an uphill battle in 2023.
While their odds of making the NFL playoffs (+130) aren’t all that unreasonable, the AFC landscape is as tricky as ever.
Not only are teams in their division strengthening, but teams like the Jets, Dolphins, and Broncos could also significantly improve in 2023.
Wagering on Pittsburgh to miss the playoffs is the safe play, especially for a team projected to finish last in its division.
Steelers Regular-Season Win Total Odds
Steelers: Under 8.5 Wins (+115)
Pittsburgh’s 2023 win total is set at 8.5 games, with the odds slightly favoring the Over (-135).
Tomlin’s impressive coaching record likely plays a role in that pricing, which I will try to take advantage of by playing the Under.
In a competitive division and conference, this team’s ceiling is probably nine wins. I’ll take my chances and fade one of the best coaches in the NFL.