In two seasons under head coach Arthur Smith, the Atlanta Falcons have finished 7-10, ramping up the pressure on the upcoming 2023 campaign.
Atlanta was one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL last season and should be again in 2023 after using their first-round pick on tailback Bijan Robinson, despite other apparent needs.
However, the Falcons were one of the more aggressive teams during free agency, adding much-needed talent on the defensive side of the ball.
Let’s look at the latest Falcons betting odds for the 2023 season.
Falcons Futures Betting Odds
Note: These NFL odds are current as of Friday, June 30, and provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Win Super Bowl: +6000
- Win NFC Championship: +2800
- Win NFC South: +215
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+130) / No (-150)
- Regular-Season Win Total: Over 8.5 (-120) / Under 8.5 (+100)
Falcons Super Bowl 58 Odds
Falcons: Win Super Bowl (+6000)
The Falcons have missed the playoffs the last five seasons, so it’s unsurprising that they sit considerably down in the preseason Super Bowl 58 odds.
Second-year quarterback Desmond Ridder will start the campaign as the starter, having thrown for just 708 yards and two touchdowns in four starts as a rookie.
Given the small sample size and Atlanta’s propensity to run the football, we still don’t know much about Ridder’s ability to run this offense, which lacks weapons on the outside beyond Drake London.
This team has much to prove before it can be considered a Super Bowl contender.
Falcons NFC Championship Odds
Falcons: Win NFC Championship (+2800)
The Falcons have the ninth-best odds of winning the NFC next season and are grouped between teams with more recent success, like the Giants (+2500) and Packers (+3000).
Atlanta most recently reached the NFC Championship Game in 2016, defeating the Packers 44-21 before collapsing against the Patriots in Super Bowl 51.
The franchise hasn’t been the same since.
While the Falcons have made some encouraging moves this offseason, like adding safety Jessie Bates III and defensive tackle David Onyemata, there is still a significant talent gap between Atlanta and the NFC’s top teams.
Falcons NFC South Winner Odds
Falcons: Win NFC South (+215)
If you’re looking for a favorable futures bet on the Falcons, take a stab at their odds to win the NFC South.
All four teams in the division finished below .500 last season and were only separated by a game in the standings.
While New Orleans (+120) has jumped into pole position after signing Derek Carr, the Falcons are well-positioned to contend for the title.
Given the rebuilding state of Carolina and Tampa Bay, Atlanta is well worth a wager at this price.
Falcons Make Playoffs Odds
Falcons: Miss Playoffs (-150)
Atlanta’s most likely route to the postseason is winning the NFC South.
While an easy schedule could help the Dirty Birds secure a wild-card spot in the downtrodden NFC, there isn’t a lot of juice to squeeze in their odds to make the NFL playoffs (+130).
Plus, the Falcons have missed the postseason each of the last five years, so this prop is the more likely way to the window.
Falcons Regular-Season Win Total Odds
Falcons: Under 8.5 Wins (+100)
The Falcons’ regular season win total is set at 8.5 games, with the Over (-120) slightly favored against the Under (+100).
However, it’s hard to ignore that Atlanta has won fewer than eight games each of the last five years. Are we supposed to expect a two-win improvement this season?
At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Falcons are favored in eight of their 17 games. And while there are a bunch of small spreads in the bunch, I think there are more outs with the Under.