Dolphins Odds 2023

John Arlia
Last Updated: Jun 27, 2023

The Miami Dolphins ended a five-year playoff drought last season but had little chance of advancing past the wild-card round without a healthy Tua Tagovailoa.

Miami’s quarterback suffered multiple concussions last season, leaving a sour note on a campaign that saw the Alabama product put up video-game numbers when throwing to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

Tagovailoa and the Dolphins seem well-positioned to take the next step forward in 2023, with Vic Fangio now leading a defense that boasts Jalen Ramsey, Xavien Howard, and Bradley Chubb.

Let’s look at the latest Dolphins betting odds for the upcoming season.

Dolphins Futures Betting Odds

Note: NFL betting odds used for these predictions are current as of Tuesday, June 27, and provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Win Super Bowl: +2200
  • Win AFC Championship: +1100
  • Win AFC East: +300
  • Make Playoffs: Yes (-110) / No (-110)
  • Regular-Season Win Total: Over 9.5 (+100) / Under 9.5 (-120)

Dolphins Super Bowl 58 Odds

Dolphins: Win Super Bowl (+2200)

At 22-1, Miami has the ninth-best odds to win Super Bowl 58.

The Dolphins fall just behind other AFC contenders like the Jets (+1800) and Ravens (+2000) and are level with the Detroit Lions, favorites in our NFC North odds.

Although Miami hasn’t won a playoff game since 2000, this year could be different. GM Chris Greer has assembled a championship-caliber roster built to win now.

To do so, the Dolphins will need Tagovailoa to stay healthy and for this defense to take a significant step forward under Fangio. The latter is a safe bet. The former is complicated.

While getting out of the loaded AFC will be difficult, I don’t hate the idea of betting on Miami’s upside at this price.

Dolphins AFC Championship Odds

Dolphins: Win AFC Championship (+1100)

Currently at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Dolphins have the same odds to win the AFC as the Jets and Ravens.

That pricing doesn’t make much sense, given the inequalities in the Super Bowl market.

Given the relative strength of the AFC compared to the NFC, I’d rather bet on the Dolphins to win the Super Bowl at longer odds.

If Miami can overcome perennial powers in the Chiefs, Bills, and Bengals to win the conference, then I’ll be happier holding a 22-1 Super Bowl bet.

Dolphins AFC East Winner Odds

Dolphins: Win AFC East (+300)

Despite being one of the top contenders in the conference, the Dolphins find themselves with the third-longest odds to win the AFC East.

This division will be one of the most competitive in football this season, with the Dolphins and Jets making significant moves this offseason to challenge the three-time defending champion Bills.

If you don’t trust the Dolphins as Super Bowl contenders and still want some value, this is the bet to make.

Buffalo hasn’t really improved this offseason, and the new-look Jets can’t be trusted yet.

Miami might have made a run at the division last season had Tagovailoa played all 17 games and should be a contender as long as he does so in 2023.

Dolphins Make Playoffs Odds

Dolphins: Make Playoffs (-110)

Given the strength of their division, the Dolphins’ postseason fate could come down to securing one of three wild-card spots.

There should be plenty of competition for those places, with teams like the Chargers, Jets, and Ravens also not favored to win their respective divisions.

However, this Miami group made the playoffs last season with a bottom-10 defense that allowed 23.5 points per game.

That unit will be much improved this year, which should help the Dolphins secure back-to-back playoff berths.

Dolphins Regular-Season Win Total Odds

Dolphins: Over 9.5 Wins (+100)

Miami’s regular-season win total is set at 9.5 games, which seems like a fair line since the Dolphins have won 10, nine, and nine games in the last three seasons.

Despite a demanding schedule, I’m backing head coach Mike McDaniel to build on a successful first season and reach double-digit victories.


John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

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