Christmas NFL Prop Bets 2023

John Arlia
Last Updated: Dec 22, 2023

There’s no better feeling than unwrapping presents on Christmas Day.

But if we had to choose a close second, connecting on a betting card full of NFL props certainly adds some joy to the holiday.

With that in mind, let’s dig into my favorite 2023 Christmas NFL props for Monday’s triple-header.

Christmas NFL Prop Bets

All NFL betting odds used for these Christmas props are current as of Friday, Dec. 22, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Raiders vs Chiefs: KC: Under 27.5 Points (-135)

Let’s kick things off with a slightly juiced play that is definitely worth the squeeze.

The Over/Under in this Raiders-Chiefs contest is set at 41, so Kansas City would have to account for nearly two-thirds of that total to hit the Over. That feels unlikely against a Raiders defense that ranks 11th in DVOA and has allowed 27-plus points just once since Antonio Pierce took over as interim head coach.

Sure, that one outing was against the Chiefs, who put up 31 points in a 14-point victory at Las Vegas in Week 12. However, that was remarkably one of only three times Kansas City has topped 28-plus points this season (14 games).

Patrick Mahomes rightfully has trust issues with some of his wide receivers, and it’s clear this Chiefs offense doesn’t have the same explosive potential it has had in recent years.

Giants vs Eagles: Shortest TD: Under 1.5 Yards (-110)

Looking for a way to capitalize on the “Brotherly Shove" without laying -170 on Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown? Here you go.

This feels like a strong bet, especially given Philadelphia’s propensity to convert from a yard out on the QB sneak. Hurts has rushed for 14 touchdowns this season, nine of which have been of the one-yard variety.

The Eagles are nearly two-touchdown favorites against the Giants, so Philly should have plenty of opportunities to find the end zone in this NFC East showdown.

Plus, there’s always the chance that Saquon Barkley or Tommy DeVito cash us out from the New York side.

Ravens vs 49ers: Both Teams Score 20+ Points (+100)

The best NFL game on Christmas Day should be the finale, as the Baltimore Ravens visit the San Francisco 49ers in what could be a Super Bowl preview.

And while these teams get a lot of love because of their elite defenses, their offenses are just as talented.

San Francisco has scored 20-plus points in six straight and has tallied at least 17 points in every game this season. Meanwhile, Baltimore has rattled off nine straight games with at least 20 points and has only failed to hit this tally twice all year.

The Over/Under for this matchup is 47 points, implying that both teams should hit this target. And I’m expecting the potential MVP showdown between Brock Purdy and Lamar Jackson to live up to the hype.

At even money, this prop has tremendous value.

Christmas NFL Player Props

Rashee Rice: Over 6.5 Receptions (+110)

Rice is the lone Chiefs receiver that has gained Mahomes’ trust in recent weeks.

The second-round pick out of SMU has seen his snap count continually rise over the course of the season, peaking at a high of 60 last week.

The increased playing time has also led to more targets. Rice has seen an average of 9.5 targets per game over the last four weeks, making 32 catches for 334 yards and three touchdowns over that span.

He has gone Over this total in four straight and should continue to play a key role in this offense moving forward. At plus-money odds, I’m riding the rookie’s positive trend.

Darren Waller: Over 36.5 Rec Yards (-115)

Waller returned from a hamstring injury last week and immediately retook his spot as one of New York’s top receiving options.

The veteran tight end was targeted six times in the Giants’ 24-6 loss to the Saints (second-most on the team) and made four catches for 40 yards.

As nearly 14-point underdogs, this should be another negative game script for New York. And although Tommy DeVito isn’t the most reliable quarterback, Waller should get enough looks to exceed this relatively modest total.

Philadelphia’s defense allowed at least 37 receiving yards to Travis Kelce, Dalton Kincaid, George Kittle, and Jake Ferguson since its Week 10 bye, giving me hope another tight end can come through.

Deebo Samuel: Anytime TD (-105)

These odds feel too good to pass up.

Samuel has been playing at the peak of his powers over the last few weeks, making an impact as both a runner and receiver for San Francisco’s high-powered offense.

The versatile playmaker has also recently had a nose for the end zone. After scoring just four touchdowns over the first three months of the season, Samuel has found paydirt seven times in the last three games.

While the Ravens will likely put up more resistance than the Cardinals, Seahawks, and Eagles did over that stretch, it’s hard to bet against Samuel scoring again at essentially even money.


John Arlia

Before joining The Game Day, John served as the National Writer for the United Soccer League, where he primarily covered the USL Championship out of the league’s headquarters in Tampa, FL. A devout soccer fan, John attended the men’s World Cups in Brazil and Russia and can’t wait for the 2026 edition to come to North America. Having also written for Sporting News Canada since getting his master’s from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at ASU, John has acquired a diverse sporting background, but considers football, golf, and soccer his three strong suits.

Related articles