The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are set to embark on a transitional season in 2023 after Tom Brady announced his retirement for the second (and likely final) time.
Despite winning the NFC South last year, this team had plenty of issues in its first campaign under head coach Todd Bowles.
And with Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask set to take Brady’s spot under center, Tampa Bay’s fortunes will likely get worse before they get better.
Let’s look at the latest Buccaneers betting odds for the 2023 NFL season.
Buccaneers Futures Betting Odds
Note: These NFL betting odds are current as of Wednesday, July 5, and provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Win Super Bowl: +8000
- Win NFC Championship: +4500
- Win NFC South: +800
- Make Playoffs: Yes (+360) / No (-450)
- Regular-Season Win Total: Over 6.5 (+120) / Under 6.5 (-140)
Buccaneers Super Bowl 58 Odds
Buccaneers: Win Super Bowl (+8000)
The Buccaneers are just two seasons removed from lifting the Lombardi Trophy on their home turf, so it’s weird seeing them near the bottom of the latest Super Bowl 58 odds.
But Tampa Bay finished below .500 with Brady last season, so it’s pretty reasonable to expect this team to be amongst the worst in the league without him.
New offensive coordinator Dave Canales, who most recently served as Geno Smith’s QB coach in Seattle, has a lot of work to do to get this unit firing again.
There’s hope that Canales can have a similar effect on another underachieving veteran in Mayfield, who does have talented targets in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to throw to. But Canales will also have to revive a rushing attack that finished last in the league in yards per game (76.9).
Having Mayfield or Trask throw the ball 43 times per game, as Brady did last season, isn’t going to be a winning formula.
Buccaneers NFC Championship Odds
Buccaneers: Win NFC Championship (+4500)
Tampa Bay has the second-longest odds to win the NFC Championship this season, only sitting ahead of the Arizona Cardinals (+10000).
Bowles-coached teams typically have a solid defensive foundation, and this year’s unit should be decent as long as the key pieces stay healthy.
Re-signing corner Jemel Dean was a good bit of business this offseason, and keeping defensive anchor Lavonte David alongside Devin White will ensure Tampa Bay continues to boast one of the top linebacker duos in the league.
Still, this defense isn’t dominant enough to win games on its own, and it will probably be on the field a lot. It could be a long season for this group.
Buccaneers NFC South Winner Odds
Buccaneers: Win NFC South (+800)
Tampa Bay occupies the basement in the preseason NFC South odds.
Although the Bucs have won the division each of the past two years, this roster is aging, and this quarterback situation is far from ideal.
And while you could make a case for a Tampa Bay three-peat, especially after all four teams in the division finished below .500 last season, New Orleans (+120) and Atlanta (+215) have taken significant steps forward in the offseason.
I can’t see this bet paying off.
Buccaneers Make Playoffs Odds
Buccaneers: Miss Playoffs (-450)
The best argument you could make for betting the Buccaneers’ odds to make the NFL playoffs (+360) this season is that the NFC is really bad.
And while that’s the case, that’s not enough of a reason, especially since Tampa Bay will be a factor in why that is the case.
The Bucs missed the postseason 12 consecutive times before Brady arrived, and they should start what could be a lengthy playoff drought this year.
Buccaneers Regular-Season Win Total Odds
Buccaneers: Under 6.5 Wins (-140)
The Buccaneers’ regular season win total is set at 6.5 games, with the Under (-140) heavily favored against the Over (+120).
While their schedule features relatively favorable matchups against the AFC South and NFC North, it’s hard to trust a Bowles-coached team with a terrible quarterback room.
At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Buccaneers are favored in only one of their 17 games (vs Carolina). And while Tampa Bay will probably overcome a few short spreads to win a handful of games, this team’s upside is limited.