The AFC West continues to run through the Kansas City Chiefs, who are coming off a second Super Bowl title in four years.
With reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes entering his age-28 season and Andy Reid still at the helm, the Chiefs will be contenders for the division (and more) for years to come.
But is this the year that someone puts an end to Kansas City’s seven-year reign atop the AFC West? Only time will tell.
Let’s take a look at the latest AFC West winner odds.
AFC West Winner Betting Odds 2023-24
NFL betting odds used for these best bets are from Wednesday, May 17, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
- Kansas City Chiefs (-165)
- Los Angeles Chargers (+340)
- Denver Broncos (+550)
- Las Vegas Raiders (+1100)
After winning the Super Bowl and seven straight division titles, the Chiefs are unsurprisingly the biggest favorite of any NFL team to win their respective division.
The Los Angeles Chargers, who have played the Chiefs close in recent years and also have an elite quarterback in Justin Herbert, have the next-best odds at +340, which showcases the gap between the Chiefs and their competition.
The new-look Denver Broncos, led by coach Sean Payton, have an outside chance of making some noise, but they’ll need Russell Wilson to be much better than he was last year.
Meanwhile, the revamped Las Vegas Raiders, who have turned to Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, are a longshot to win their first division title since moving to Sin City.
AFC West Winner Best Bet
Kansas City Chiefs (-165)
Until someone knocks the Chiefs off, it’s going to be hard to look at any other team in this division.
Kansas City is deservedly a heavy favorite in both the division and the latest AFC Championship odds, having shown the ability to successfully reshuffle the pieces around the core of Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Chris Jones.
Last year’s Super Bowl-winning squad relied on a solid offensive line and got the most out of young talent on defense.
The offseason signing of offensive tackle Juwaan Taylor helped mitigate the losses of Orlando Brown Jr. and Andrew Wylie, and Kansas City added more depth at the position in the 2023 NFL Draft.
The Chiefs also again used most of their draft assets on defense, addressing that side of the ball with five of their seven picks. As a result, DC Steve Spagnuolo will have plenty of young players to work with throughout the regular season, which for this team is essentially practice for the postseason.
AFC Divisional Futures Odds & Picks
AFC West Winner Sleeper Pick
Los Angeles Chargers (+340)
If you don’t want to lay the juice with the Chiefs, I would roll with the Chargers.
Los Angeles should be motivated for the regular season as it looks to move past an embarrassing playoff defeat to the Jaguars. In case you forgot, the Chargers led that game 27-0 in the second quarter and lost 31-30.
While you can certainly question how coach Brandon Staley and GM Tom Telesco kept their jobs after that disaster, there have been some internal changes with Kellen Moore taking over as offensive coordinator.
I think that’s good news for Herbert, who will also have a new weapon to work with in 2023 first-rounder Quentin Johnston. If this offense can open up the playbook a bit to get more vertical and the key players on defense, like J.C. Jackson, Joey Bosa, and Derwin James, can stay healthy, then the Chargers could give the Chiefs a run.