Alabama vs Michigan Predictions & Picks

Skyler Carlin
Last Updated: Dec 15, 2023

The Alabama Crimson Tide are set to clash against the Michigan Wolverines in the Rose Bowl on New Year’s Day to determine who will face the winner of Washington and Texas in the National Championship.

Alabama took down Georgia in the SEC Championship to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff with a 12-1 record. Meanwhile, Michigan went undefeated with a 13-0 record and blanked Iowa 26-0 in the Big Ten title game.

Here are the latest 2024 Rose Bowl odds and our Alabama vs Michigan predictions and best bets for this CFP matchup.

Alabama vs Michigan Odds

NCAAF betting odds are current as of Tuesday, Dec. 12, and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Moneyline: Alabama (+105) vs Michigan (-125)
  • Spread: Alabama +1.5 (-108) vs Michigan -1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under: Over 45.5 (-110) / Under 45.5 (-110)

Alabama vs Michigan Matchup

Following a strong finish to the season, Nick Saban will look to make another playoff push after missing out on the dance in 2022. Jim Harbaugh returned to the sideline for Michigan in the Big Ten Championship, and he’s seeking his first National Championship.

After losing to Texas in Week 2 – and getting benched in the process – Jalen Milroe was a much better quarterback down the stretch for the Crimson Tide en route to an 11-game win streak.

On the other side of the field, the Wolverines will look to lean on Blake Corum and the ground game with an elite defense to boot.

It is expected to be a competitive, low-scoring matchup between two teams who aren’t familiar with one another (this will be just the sixth all-time meeting between Alabama and Michigan).

Alabama vs Michigan Prediction

Alabama 23, Michigan 20

Death, taxes, and Saban winning a semifinal game in the College Football Playoff are all guarantees in life.

In the six years Alabama has earned a spot in the College Football Playoff, it has yet to lose before reaching the National Championship.

The Crimson Tide were a vastly different team to finish the season as they averaged 35.1 points per game (18th in the nation) on offense and surrendered 18.38 points per game (17th).

As for the Wolverines, they tallied 36.7 points per game (14th) offensively and allowed the fewest points per game (9.46).

This game could be decided on the ground as Alabama is giving up only 124.5 rushing yards per game (30th-fewest) and 3.7 yards per attempt.

The Crimson Tide will force J.J. McCarthy and the Wolverines’ aerial attack to beat them, but Milroe will make more plays to secure the win.

Alabama vs Michigan Best Bet

Alabama +1.5 (-108)

It’s tough to bet against Saban and Alabama, especially when the Crimson Tide are firing on all cylinders entering the playoffs.

Alabama ended Georgia’s 29-game win streak in the SEC Championship, proving it evolved into one of the best teams as the season progressed.

Entering the impending bout between Alabama and Michigan, the Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS, and they covered in the lone game (the SEC Championship) where they were underdogs this season.

The Wolverines tallied a 7-5-1 ATS record during the regular season, and all their games came as favorites.

Alabama vs Michigan Parlay

Best Alabama vs Michigan Parlay (+475)

  • Alabama +1.5 (-108)
  • Under 45.5 (-110)
  • Alabama: Over 20.5 Points (-145)

We’ll carry over our confidence in Alabama by backing the Crimson Tide to cover the spread and score at least 21 points in our same-game parlay.

The Crimson Tide went 9-4 ATS during the season and logged 21-plus points in 12 of their 13 games.

Lastly, we’ll side with the Under of 45.5 as Alabama and Michigan allow a combined 27.84 points per game.

Alabama vs Michigan Prop Bet

Both Teams Score 20+ Points: Yes (+115)

This bet has fantastic value as we can still hit the Under of 45.5, while this also gives us a hedged bet in case it is a higher-scoring game than expected.

As mentioned above, Alabama has posted 21 or more points in all but one game this season.

Michigan never scored fewer than 24 points in their 13 games this season, making this an enticing wager at +115.


Skyler Carlin

Before joining The Game Day, Skyler has written for various sites for 5-6 years and his work has been (or is) currently featured on Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and SB Nation. Skyler loves to talk about movies, TV shows, and anything sports. He has taken part in multiple well-known fantasy contests like RazzBowl, Scott Fish Bowl, and NFL DFS Wars.

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